Climate envelope analysis of nine tree species shows that Fagus sylvatica L. and Picea abies H. Karst could lose 58% and 40% of their current distribution range. Quercus pubescens Willd and Quercus cerris L. may win areas equal with 47% and 43% of their current ranges. The ratio of poorly predictable areas increases by 105% in southern and south-eastern Europe.
Species distribution model; Multiresolution segmentation; Climate change; Adaptation in forestry; Random forest
Illés, G., Móricz, N. Climate envelope analyses suggests significant rearrangements in the distribution ranges of Central European tree species. Annals of Forest Science 79, 35 (2022). https://doi.org/10.1186/s13595-022-01154-8
Data and/or Code availability
The datasets generated and analysed during the current study are available in the figshare repository: https://doi.org/10.6084/m9.figshare.19614435.v2
Ignacio J. Diaz-Maroto