Climate envelope analyses suggests significant rearrangements in the distribution ranges of Central European tree species

Key message
Climate envelope analysis of nine tree species shows that Fagus sylvatica L. and Picea abies H. Karst could lose 58% and 40% of their current distribution range. Quercus pubescens Willd and Quercus cerris L. may win areas equal with 47% and 43% of their current ranges. The ratio of poorly predictable areas increases by 105% in southern and south-eastern Europe.

Keywords
Species distribution model; Multiresolution segmentation; Climate change; Adaptation in forestry; Random forest

Publication
Illés, G., Móricz, N. Climate envelope analyses suggests significant rearrangements in the distribution ranges of Central European tree species. Annals of Forest Science 79, 35 (2022). https://doi.org/10.1186/s13595-022-01154-8

Data and/or Code availability
The datasets generated and analysed during the current study are available in the figshare repository: https://doi.org/10.6084/m9.figshare.19614435.v2

Handling Editor
Ignacio J. Diaz-Maroto

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