{"id":5925,"date":"2024-01-23T15:55:06","date_gmt":"2024-01-23T14:55:06","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ist.blogs.inrae.fr\/afs\/?p=5925"},"modified":"2024-01-23T15:55:06","modified_gmt":"2024-01-23T14:55:06","slug":"aiming-at-a-moving-target-economic-evaluation-of-adaptation-strategies-under-the-uncertainty-of-climate-change-and-co2-fertilization-of-european-beech-fagus-sylvatica-l-and-silver-fir-abies-alba","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ist.blogs.inrae.fr\/afs\/2024\/01\/23\/aiming-at-a-moving-target-economic-evaluation-of-adaptation-strategies-under-the-uncertainty-of-climate-change-and-co2-fertilization-of-european-beech-fagus-sylvatica-l-and-silver-fir-abies-alba\/","title":{"rendered":"Aiming at a moving target: economic evaluation of adaptation strategies under the uncertainty of climate change and CO2 fertilization of European beech (Fagus sylvatica L.) and Silver fir (Abies alba Mill.)"},"content":{"rendered":"<script type='text\/javascript' src='https:\/\/d1bxh8uas1mnw7.cloudfront.net\/assets\/embed.js'><\/script><p><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/ist.blogs.inrae.fr\/afs\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2024\/01\/Sperlich-2024.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-medium wp-image-5928 alignright\" src=\"https:\/\/ist.blogs.inrae.fr\/afs\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2024\/01\/Sperlich-2024-300x205.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"300\" height=\"205\" srcset=\"https:\/\/ist.blogs.inrae.fr\/afs\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2024\/01\/Sperlich-2024-300x205.png 300w, https:\/\/ist.blogs.inrae.fr\/afs\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2024\/01\/Sperlich-2024-768x524.png 768w, https:\/\/ist.blogs.inrae.fr\/afs\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2024\/01\/Sperlich-2024-640x437.png 640w, https:\/\/ist.blogs.inrae.fr\/afs\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2024\/01\/Sperlich-2024.png 935w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/a>Key message<\/strong><\/p>\n<p align=\"justify\">Drought severely worsened till 2100 and eventually outplayed growth-enhancing CO2 fertilization turning productivity gains into losses for beech and fir. Most scenarios generated notable losses in profitability but economic tipping points were later than for productivity due to lag effects related to discounting. Time mixture of fir and shortening rotation can counteract economic risks under climate change, but requires early admixture and moderate establishment costs.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Keywords<\/strong><br \/>\nClimate change adaptation; eCO2; Drought; Mixed forests; Land expectation value; Uncertainty<\/p>\n<div class='altmetric-embed' data-badge-type='donut' data-doi='10.1186\/s13595-023-01215-6'  style='float: right; ' ><\/div>\n<p><strong>Publication<\/strong><br \/>\nSperlich, D., Hanewinkel, M. &amp; Yousefpour, R. Aiming at a moving target: economic evaluation of adaptation strategies under the uncertainty of climate change and CO2 fertilization of European beech (<em>Fagus sylvatica<\/em> L.) and Silver fir (<em>Abies alba<\/em> Mill.). Annals of Forest Science 81, 4 (2024). <a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1186\/s13595-023-01215-6\">https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1186\/s13595-023-01215-6<\/a><\/p>\n<p><strong>Data and\/or Code availability<\/strong><br \/>\nThe data for the parametrization and calibration of the forest growth simulator are published in (Sperlich et al. 2020). Tables summarizing the economic results are available in the appendix.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Handling Editor<\/strong><br \/>\nShuguang (Leo) Liu<\/p>\n<p><strong>Topical Collection<\/strong><br \/>\nThis article is part of the Topical Collection &#8220;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.biomedcentral.com\/collections\/risk-not-adapting\">Socio-ecological conflicts in forest management: risks of (not) adapting<\/a>?&#8221;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Key message Drought severely worsened till 2100 and eventually outplayed growth-enhancing CO2 fertilization turning productivity gains into losses for beech and fir. Most scenarios generated notable losses in profitability but economic tipping points were later than for productivity due to lag effects related to discounting. Time mixture of fir and shortening rotation can counteract economic [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":109,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[14,110,109,15,108],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-5925","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-article-type","category-data-in-repository","category-open-access","category-research-paper","category-special-issuetopical-collection","cat-14-id","cat-110-id","cat-109-id","cat-15-id","cat-108-id"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/ist.blogs.inrae.fr\/afs\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5925","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/ist.blogs.inrae.fr\/afs\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/ist.blogs.inrae.fr\/afs\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ist.blogs.inrae.fr\/afs\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/109"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ist.blogs.inrae.fr\/afs\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=5925"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"https:\/\/ist.blogs.inrae.fr\/afs\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5925\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":5930,"href":"https:\/\/ist.blogs.inrae.fr\/afs\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5925\/revisions\/5930"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/ist.blogs.inrae.fr\/afs\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=5925"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ist.blogs.inrae.fr\/afs\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=5925"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ist.blogs.inrae.fr\/afs\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=5925"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}